Seattle Dragons quarterback B.J. Daniels

XFL Week 5 Betting Preview: Seattle Dragons at Houston Roughnecks

  • Gambling
  • XFL
By Jereme Jones March 5, 2020 0 Comment
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An in-depth preview of the XFL Week 5 match-up between the Seattle Dragons and the Houston Roughnecks. Can the Roughnecks remain undefeated?

Seattle at Houston (-13)

Saturday, March 7, 2 pm, ABC

Seattle continues their road trip from hell, moving on from the Battle Dome in St. Louis to take on the only undefeated team in the XFL, the Houston Roughnecks. The Dragons do look a lot different, and more dangerous than they did when the trip began thanks to a change at quarterback. Veteran B.J. Daniels replaced Brandon Silvers at halftime last week and almost led Seattle to a comeback win against the BattleHawks.

Daniels, a 30-yeard-old who was drafted by the 49ers in the 7th round of the 2013 draft, has bounced around the NFL, CFL, and AAF the last eight years and has played in a total of 8 games in that time. He looked like a man with something to prove versus St. Louis, throwing for 100 yards and a touchdown and also rushing for 84 yards on seven carries.

Houston’s defense has a lot of playmakers who are very good at getting to the quarterback (11 sacks) and forcing turnovers (11). The Roughnecks do struggle on defense when they can’t force turnovers, however, as they tend to give up a lot of yards (334.2/game) and points (22/game). Because of this, the Dragons should be able to keep up offensively in this game.

Defensively, Seattle will have a much harder time trying to stop this explosive Houston offense. MVP front-runner PJ Walker leads an offense that is first in the XFL in scoring, averaging 31.5 points per game. Walker has thrown for 987 yards and 12 touchdowns this season. His receiving corps is deep and talented with Cam Phillps (21/333/7), Nick Holley (17/195/1) and Khalil Lewis (21/189/1). Running back James Butler has also been an essential part of the offense, producing on the ground (169 yards and 2 TDs) and also catching eight passes for 25 yards.

The Dragons defense has talent, including the leading tackler in the XFL, Steven Johnson. Unfortunately for Seattle, that talent has not translated into stats or wins. The Dragons are 7th in the league in yards allowed (337.5) and 6th in points allowed (21.8).

Houston is the best team in the XFL, and they very well could remain undefeated on Saturday. Especially since the game is in Houston. Where this game gets interesting is when you look at that 13 point spread. When we look at the numbers, the Dragons have been able to keep things relatively close this year, with an average margin of defeat of 10.3 points. And last week, at the toughest road venue in the XFL, they only lost by 7. The fact that they have been able to keep games close, without much of an offense, brings optimism about their chances to play a tight game again this week with B.J. Daniels now at quarterback.

You also have to consider that despite their 4-0 record, the Roughnecks haven’t exactly been blowing teams out; their average margin of victory is 9.5 points. However, if you take out their 20 point win over LA in week 1, it drops down to 6 points. The Dragons defense, who have forced seven turnovers this season, could come up with a few in this game to help keep Seattle in the game.

In the end, Seattle makes sense at plus 13.

Our Pick: Seattle (+13)

XFLOutsider’s 2020 Season Record:

Straight Up: 10-2

Against the Spread: 9-2

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