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Jets vs Bills How you Should be Betting this Game

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By Tommy Griffenkranz September 12, 2020 0 Comment
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The Jets head to Buffalo to take on the Bills, will you be betting this game ? Keys players to watch and important trends to keep an eye on.

The New York Jets and Buffalo Bills square off in week one.  The Bills are an ultra hyped team with hopes of knocking the New England Patriots off the top of the AFC East mountain.  Most NFL talking heads believe the Jets will be competing for a top-five pick.  Here’s how you should be betting the Jets, Bills matchup.

New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills

Date/Time: September 13, 1 p.m. ET

Stadium: Bills Stadium

TV Coverage: CBS

Weather: 15-20 mph winds, scattered showers

Odds: Fanduel, BUF -6.5, Total 39.5

Bills Preview

The Bills made the playoffs in 2019 as a wildcard team, losing in the first round. Wide receiver Stefon Diggs was added to the third-year quarterback Josh Allen‘s arsenal this offseason.  Allen completed just 24.1% of passes that traveled over 20 yards last season, according to Pro Football Focus. Buffalo hopes Diggs can help Allen improve in this area.

Buffalo had the seventh-ranked defense in 2019, according to Football Outsiders.  The unit is led by cornerback Tre’Davious White.  His running mate cornerback Josh Norman has been ruled out of this game with a hamstring issue.

Jets Preview

The Jets enter 2020 with lots of questions. Having lost their two best defensive players Jamal Adams (trade) and C.J. Mosley (COVID concerns), a solid unit in 2019, now has several questions. Quinnen Williams, last year’s first-round pick needs to show why the Jets selected him with the third overall pick in 2019. Williams needs to provide the interior pass rush he flashed at Alabama.

Darnold will be playing behind a rebuilt offensive line. Four new starters and no preseason games might be a tall task in week one.  New York is also dealing with some injuries to the wide receiver corps. Denzel Mims, a second-round pick has been ruled out with a hamstring issue. He missed all of training camp but was at practice earlier in the week and appeared ready to play. Mims injured his other hamstring and now will not make his NFL debut this week in Buffalo.

Tight end Chris Herndon is back and ready to stake his claim as a top 10 tight end. He flashed as a rookie in 2018 before missing most of 2019 with injuries and a suspension. The Jets expect Darnold and Herndon to pick up where they left off in 2018.

Players to watch Bills

Josh Allen passed for 3089 yards and 20 touchdowns a year ago.  He added 510 yards on the ground, scoring nine times.  Allen needs to improve his ability to pass downfield.

Stefon Diggs, acquired from the Minnesota Vikings during the offseason gives the Bills an elite deep threat.  He averaged 75.3 receiving yards per game last year.

Ed Oliver and Mario Addison will be going up against the Jets’ newly rebuilt offensive line.  Addison had 9.5 sacks season Oliver added 5.0.

Tre’Davious White an All-Pro stud shutdown cornerback had six interceptions last season.

Players to watch Jets

The Offensive Line will be the key for this team and for Darnold’s development. If they can come together with no preseason games and get the young signal-caller time to pass it will change the way the Jets offense performs.

Le’Veon Bell had the worst season of his career in 2019.  Bell rushed for only 789 yards.  He showed up to camp in phenomenal shape, now can the big guys in front of him open up some running lanes.

Sam Darnold passed for 3024 yards, 19 touchdowns and 13 interceptions in 13 games last season. Darnold needs to take the big step in 2020 to silence his critics.

Breshad Perriman was a monster down the stretch last season for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He needs to show that is who he is and not an outlier. Going against White is a tough ask, especially after dealing with a knee injury at the end of camp.

Pierre Desir was signed by the Jets to be their top cornerback. Desir dealt with hamstring issues and missed most of camp. Going up against Diggs and fellow wide receiver John Brown will test the health of his hamstring.

Odds and Ends

  • Bills went 9-5-2 ATS last season, Jets were 7-9 ATS
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Jets last 6 games
  • Last year these teams combined to score 36.8 points per game
  • The road team is 4-0 ATS/SU when these teams have played the last two seasons
  • In the two games these teams played last year the outcome was determined by a total of eight points.

How to Bet Jets vs Bills

No fans in some stadiums will likely have an effect on home-field advantage, but just how much is yet to be determined. Since 2003 road divisional dogs are 53.3%  ATS and it will continue in this game. These two teams have played close games in recent years, take the Jets and the 6.5 points.

A factor to keep an eye in the game total is the weather.  At 39.5 the total is low, but if the wind stays as predicted, 15-20 mph, the UNDER will be a solid play.

 

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